Debt Office Commentaries

Debt Office Commentary: Long-term conditions for debt management

News 22 September 2023 Publication, Riksgäldskommentar, Debt Office Commentary

Central government debt serves an important purpose in the public economy in a number of ways. While it is difficult to discuss an optimal size for the debt, both a level far too low and high can pose challenges.

For debt management, there are many reasons to analyse the conditions in the long term. For example, because major changes sometimes do not become visible until further ahead in time, but also to see what types of strategy choices can follow from these changes. This commentary therefore considers three scenarios for the progression and management of the debt until 2034, given the current fiscal policy framework and the Debt Office’s guidelines and strategy.

Read the commentary in full here

A Debt Office Commentary is part of a series of essays in which Swedish National Debt Office employees contribute to furthering the understanding of a relevant subject. Debt Office Commentary 3 2023 highlights that the challenge for central government debt management in the coming years will...

Debt Office Commentary: Public-private partnership risks being expensive and uncertain for the central government

News 23 December 2021 Publication, Debt Office Commentary

In a PPP contracting arrangement, a private enterprise is appointed – to carry out a state infrastructure project, for instance – which is then repaid by the central government. In Sweden, it has not been particularly common. One of few examples is the New Karolinska Hospital. Abroad, PPP has been more commonplace, for instance in the UK, the Netherlands and France.

 PPP advocators argue that the incentive structure in a PPP generates socioeconomic efficiencies. In a PPP, project payment is also deferred, and there is thus no near-term burden on the central government budget, which might appeal to decision-makers.  

However, potential benefits are unsure and are outweighed by the drawbacks, according to the Debt Office economists in their commentary. Transparency surrounding decisions will be impaired, and financing will be more expensive because private-sector entities have a lower credit rating than the central government. A number of conducted empirical studies also appear to support this conclusion. In the UK for example, PPP is no longer used.

The authors round off their commentary by advising the central government against using PPP. 

Read the commentary in full here

Clear drawbacks and uncertain benefits. This is the conclusion drawn by Debt Office economists Carl Oreland and Magnus Thor following their analysis of public-private partnership (PPP) in a commentary.

Debt Office Commentary: More efficient management of Swedish government agencies' international payments

Publication 28 June 2021 Debt Office Commentary

In recent years, the Debt Office has been able to reduce Swedish government agencies’ overall costs for currency conversions through better prices in the central government framework agreements for cross-border payments and the introduction of a multi-currency cash pool model for improved coordination of the agencies’ payments in foreign currencies.

A liquidity management structure as equally well-functioning and efficient as that used for Swedish kronor is now in place for agencies’ payments in other currencies using a multi-currency cash pool solution (MCCP).

Debt Office Commentary 1-2021: More efficient management of Swedish government agencies’ international payments

Debt Office Commentary: The central government’s net borrowing requirement is a measure of its cash flow

Publication 9 June 2020 Debt Office Commentary

The central government net borrowing requirement shows how much money the central government needs to borrow to cover its ongoing operations. The Debt Office makes independent forecasts of the net borrowing requirement, which have an important role in the development of borrowing plans. Accurate forecasts enable the Debt Office to plan and manage borrowing in a way that helps minimise the long-term cost of central government debt.

Sofia Nilsson and Elin Stenbacka are economists at the Swedish National Debt Office’s Economic Analysis Department.

Debt Office Commentary: The central government’s net borrowing requirement is a measure of its cash flow

A Debt Office Commentary is part of a series of essays in which Swedish National Debt Office employees contribute to furthering the understanding of a relevant subject. Debt Office Commentary 2 2020: The central government’s net borrowing requirement is a measure of its cash flow addresses how the...

Debt Office Commentary: Forecast evaluation 2013–2018

Publication 26 May 2020 Debt Office Commentary

Mattias Bruér is a senior economist at the Swedish National Debt Office´s Economic Analysis Department.

Debt Office Commentary: Forecast evaluation 2013–2018

A Debt Office Commentary is part of a series of essays in which Swedish National Debt Office employees contribute to furthering the understanding of a relevant subject. Debt Office Commentary 1 2020: Forecast evaluation 2013–2018 presents the results of an evaluation of the Debt Office’s...